Episode 10: Geography of Faith: North, South, and the Mixed Middle Belt

Nigeria’s Faith and Power – A Journey Through Religion, Politics, and Society

Nigeria’s religious landscape is strikingly geographical. While national estimates place Muslims at around 53–56% and Christians at 43–45%, the distribution is far from uniform. The country divides broadly along a north-south axis, with a complex transition zone in the centre where faiths overlap and tensions often flare.

Nigeria is organised into six geopolitical zones, each with distinct religious characteristics:

  • North West and North East (the “Far North”): Predominantly Muslim (90–99%). Home to Hausa-Fulani and Kanuri communities, these zones include states like Kano, Sokoto, Borno, and Katsina. Twelve northern states have adopted elements of Sharia law since 2000.
  • South East: Almost exclusively Christian (95–98%). The Igbo heartland (Anambra, Enugu, Imo, Abia, Ebonyi) has virtually no significant Muslim population.
  • South South (Niger Delta): Overwhelmingly Christian (90–98%). Ethnic groups such as Ijaw, Ibibio, and Efik dominate in states like Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, and Cross River.
  • South West: Religiously mixed, with a slight Muslim edge (roughly 50–55% Muslim, 40–45% Christian). Yoruba people predominate, and interfaith marriages are common. Lagos, the economic hub, is highly diverse.
  • North Central (Middle Belt): The most mixed and contested zone. Many minority ethnic groups are Christian, while Hausa-Fulani Muslim communities are also present. States like Plateau, Benue, and Nasarawa lean Christian; Kwara and Niger lean more Muslim.

This north-south religious divide is not coincidental. Islam spread southward from the Sahel through trade and conquest centuries ago, entrenching itself in the northern emirates. Christianity arrived later via coastal missionaries in the 19th century, taking root in the south and spreading inland.

Where faiths meet – particularly in the Middle Belt and parts of the North West – conflict is most intense. Farmer-herder clashes, often pitting Muslim Fulani pastoralists against Christian sedentary farmers, have claimed thousands of lives in recent years. The North East remains the epicentre of the Boko Haram/ISWAP insurgency, while banditry plagues the North West.

These conflicts are exacerbated by climate stress, land scarcity, and governance failures, but the religious and ethnic overlays frequently frame them as faith-based persecution. In contrast, the homogeneous South East and South South, along with the tolerant mixed South West, experience far less inter-religious violence.

Understanding Nigeria’s geography of faith is essential to grasping its politics: regional voting patterns, power-sharing debates, and even electoral strategies all trace back to these enduring lines on the map.

References: Pew Research Center religious mapping data (2010–2020); Afrobarometer surveys; CIA World Factbook; academic studies on farmer-herder conflicts (International Crisis Group, 2024–2025).

Next Episode: Peace and Tension: Nigeria’s Most Harmonious Regions
(Highlighting the calmest parts of the country and examining Nigeria’s federal structure, including the absence of official “Christian states” despite northern Sharia systems)