The Greenland Crisis (2026): Coercion, Sovereignty, and Alliance Politics (Content)
Episode 1 — Prologue: Why Greenland, why now? Episode 2 — The constitutional baseline: sovereignty, autonomy, and self-determination Episode 3…
Category: The Greenland Crisis (2026)
Episode 1 — Prologue: Why Greenland, why now?
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) Tonight, Greenland feels less like a remote Arctic territory and more like a stress…
Episode 2 — The constitutional baseline: sovereignty, autonomy, and self-determination
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) If Episode 1 established why Greenland matters strategically, today’s reading clarified something more basic:…
Episode 3 — The trigger: the tariff ultimatum and the timetable
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) Today is when the Greenland dispute became unambiguously coercive. The shift is not merely…
Episode 4 — Europe answers: the “full solidarity” joint statement
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) If the tariff ultimatum is the instrument of pressure, the European response is the…
Episode 5 — Arctic signalling: “Arctic Endurance” and allied participation
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) What looks, at first glance, like a set of modest troop movements is better…
Episode 6 — The United Kingdom: Principle, Pragmatism, and the “Bridge” Role
Date frame: 5–19 January 2026 (UK-centric chronology) The UK’s posture in the Greenland dispute has been unusually explicit on principle,…
Episode 7 — Europe’s “trade bazooka”: the Anti-Coercion Instrument as deterrent and dilemma
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) The tariff ultimatum has forced Brussels into an uncomfortable posture: preparing to use a…
Episode 8 — NATO’s dilemma: coercion inside the alliance
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) The Greenland dispute has pushed NATO into a category of crisis it was never…
Episode 9 — Poland’s line: sovereignty affirmed, troops declined
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) Poland’s posture in this crisis is easily misread. Because Warsaw is not among the…
Episode 10 — The “quiet trio”: Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia as procedural hedgers
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) Poland’s approach (Episode 9) was normatively loud but operationally restrained. The posture of Hungary,…
Episode 11 — Switzerland: neutrality as restraint, not indifference
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) Switzerland’s role in the Greenland dispute is best understood as a case of “political…
Episode 12 — Russia: opportunism, wedge-driving, and the limits of “alignment”
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) Russia’s posture in the Greenland crisis is often described in shorthand as “enjoying the…
Episode 13 — China: rejecting the “China threat” frame while exploiting the narrative space
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) China enters the Greenland crisis in an unusual way: not as an active party…
Episode 14 — Global non-alignment: the diplomacy of silence
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) What stands out tonight is not a surge of counter-statements from across the world,…
Episode 15 — U.S. domestic constraints: weak mandate, congressional friction, and the force taboo
Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) From Europe, the Greenland dispute can look like a pure executive-driven escalation. From inside…
Episode 16 — Outlook: off-ramps, scenarios, and the damage ledger
Journal entry, written as an “end-of-cycle” reflection (19 January 2026 perspective, with developments through 22 January 2026 noted where relevant)…