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The Dragon’s Gambit - China

The Dragon’s Gambit – China (Content)

I: The Decapitation of the High Command II: The Russian Precedent and the Intelligence Trap III: The Closing Window —…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

I: The Decapitation of the High Command

The sudden fall of General Zhang Youxia in January 2026 marks the most significant fracturing of China’s military leadership since…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

II: The Russian Precedent and the Intelligence Trap

In the strategic world, history does not repeat, but it often rhymes. To understand the 2026 arrests of General Zhang…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

III: The Closing Window — Energy Hegemony and 2026

In the calculus of modern warfare, fuel is as critical as firepower. For China, the events of January 2026 have…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

IV: The Shadow Command and the Logistics of Invasion

If the “Decapitation” of the High Command (Volume I) is the political visible layer of the crisis, the rise of…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

V: Reflexive Control — Deception as a Prelude to War

In the high-stakes game of 21st-century warfare, the most effective weapon is not a missile, but the manipulation of the…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

VI: The Weather Window and the 2026 Opportunity

A common misconception in Western strategic thought is that a cross-strait invasion can only occur during two narrow “goldilocks” windows:…

The Dragon’s Gambit - China

VII: T-Dome and the Race Against Time

If the military purges in Beijing represent a “clearing of the decks” for action, Taiwan’s internal political gridlock in January…

Intervention, Accountability and Power in International PoliticsVenezuela in International Politics

Episode 1 – Venezuela’s “three sources of power”

Venezuela’s “three sources of power” after Operation Absolute Resolve 1.1 What happened, and why “arrest” did not settle authority The…

Intervention, Accountability and Power in International PoliticsVenezuela in International Politics

Episode 8 — China’s oil-backed lending model

Repayment mechanics, disruption risk after 3 January 2026, and Beijing’s legal–financial playbook 8.1 The central proposition China’s leverage in Venezuela…

Intervention, Accountability and Power in International PoliticsVenezuela in International Politics

Episode 9 — Ecuador, Sri Lanka, Zambia

Comparative “Debt-for-Resources / Infrastructure-for-Finance” Cases Purpose of this episode To understand what a “China-heavy” creditor profile can mean for a…

The Greenland Crisis (2026)

Episode 13 — China: rejecting the “China threat” frame while exploiting the narrative space

Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) China enters the Greenland crisis in an unusual way: not as an active party…

The Greenland Crisis (2026)

Episode 14 — Global non-alignment: the diplomacy of silence

Journal entry, 19 January 2026 (London) What stands out tonight is not a surge of counter-statements from across the world,…

The Bear and the Eagle (Putin vs Trump)

Chapter 24: The Dragon Moves – Taiwan and the Three-Day Siege (May–June 2025)

The Bear and the Eagle Volume 4: Year Four – A Dangerous New Order (2025) May – June 2025Taipei –…

Biblical Nations in the Modern World

China in Biblical Context (Sinim)

1. Introduction China, known today as one of the world’s most ancient civilisations, does not play a direct role in…

EconomyGeopolitical Conflicts

Taiwan’s Sovereignty Dispute

Taiwan’s Sovereignty Dispute: Historical Claims, Political Tensions, and Global Implications Introduction The sovereignty of Taiwan remains one of the most…

EconomyPolitical Realignments and ReformsPolitics

Macau’s Reintegration with China

Macau’s Reintegration with China: A Peaceful Transition under ‘One Country, Two Systems’ Introduction The reintegration of Macau into the People’s…

ComparisonEconomyGeopolitical Conflicts

Contested Sovereignty and Asymmetric Autonomy

Contested Sovereignty and Asymmetric Autonomy: A Comparative Study of Subnational Movements and State Responses Abstract This article explores the complex…

EconomyPolitical Realignments and ReformsPolitics

Hong Kong’s Autonomy and Beijing’s Control

Hong Kong’s Autonomy and Beijing’s Control: Historical and Strategic Implications Introduction Hong Kong’s evolving political status represents a critical case…

EconomyGeopolitical Conflicts

Strategic and Economic Implications of the China–Taiwan Conflict

Cross-Strait Tensions and Global Power Shifts: Strategic and Economic Implications of the China–Taiwan Conflict Introduction The China–Taiwan conflict represents one…

EconomyGeopolitical Conflicts

The China–Hong Kong Conflict

The China–Hong Kong Conflict: Historical Roots, Causes, and Global Implications Introduction The evolving conflict between the People’s Republic of China…

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