Episode 16 — Outlook: off-ramps, scenarios, and the damage ledger
Journal entry, written as an “end-of-cycle” reflection (19 January 2026 perspective, with developments through 22 January 2026 noted where relevant)…
Tag: Donald J. Trump
Chapter 1: The Night That Changed the World
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017) 8 November 2016Trump Tower, New York City The evening…
Chapter 2: The First Moves – Syria, Sanctions, and Signals (Early 2017)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017) February–March 2017Washington D.C. – Moscow – Damascus The early…
Chapter 3: The Kremlin Files – Flynn, Comey, and the Special Counsel (Mid–Late 2017)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017) Washington D.C., May 2017 By mid-2017, the Trump administration…
Chapter 4: Parallel Agendas – Ukraine, NATO, and the Art of Disruption (Late 2017–Early 2018)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017) Brussels – Washington – Moscow – KyivOctober 2017 –…
Chapter 5: Helsinki – The Summit That Shook the West (July 2018)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017) 16 July 2018Presidential Palace, Helsinki, Finland Two men, two…
Chapter 6: The Midterms, Mueller, and the Expanding Theatre (Late 2018–Early 2019)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017)* November 2018 – March 2019Washington – Moscow – Kyiv…
Chapter 7: Shadows of 2020 – Impeachment, Ukraine, and the Coming Storm
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017)* April 2019 – December 2019Washington – Kyiv – Moscow…
Chapter 8: The Pandemic, the Protests, and the Politics of Collapse (2020)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 1: The Unexpected Victory (2016–2017) January – November 2020Wuhan – Washington – Moscow –…
Chapter 9: January 6, Navalny, and the Winter of Reckonings (2021)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) January – June 2021Washington – Moscow –…
Chapter 10: War Clouds over Kyiv – Russia’s Full-Scale Invasion (February 2022)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) January – February 2022Moscow – Kyiv –…
Chapter 11: The Sanctions Era – Economic Warfare and the New Global Order (Mid–Late 2022)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) March – December 2022Washington – Moscow –…
Chapter 12: Kherson, Kharkiv, and the Counteroffensive (Late 2022 – Early 2023)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) September 2022 – March 2023Kyiv – Kherson…
Chapter 13: Bakhmut, Belarus, and the Battle for 2023
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) January – June 2023Bakhmut – Kyiv –…
Chapter 14: The Counteroffensive Begins – Zaporizhzhia, Sea Drones, and Crimea’s Shadow
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) June – September 2023Zaporizhzhia – Melitopol –…
Chapter 15: Wagner’s Mutiny – The Day Russia Turned on Itself
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) 23–24 June 2023Rostov-on-Don – Moscow – Voronezh…
Chapter 16: Autumn of Attrition – Drones, Diplomacy, and the Global Recession Risk (Oct–Dec 2023)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 2: The Biden–Xi Reset or Rivalry (2021–2022) October – December 2023Kyiv – Moscow –…
Chapter 17: Year Three – The Battle for 2024 Begins
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 3: Year Three – Unfinished Wars and Uncertain Worlds (2024–2025) January – March 2024Kyiv…
Chapter 18: Tehran, Taiwan, and the Multipolar Chessboard (April–June 2024)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 3: Year Three – Unfinished Wars and Uncertain Worlds (2024–2025) April – June 2024Tehran…
Chapter 19: The Trump Return – Campaigns, Crises, and Global Shockwaves (July–August 2024)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 3: Year Three – Unfinished Wars and Uncertain Worlds (2024–2025) July – August 2024Washington…
Chapter 20: Cyber, Collapse, and the Countdown to November (Sept–Oct 2024)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 3: Year Three – Unfinished Wars and Uncertain Worlds (2024–2025) September – October 2024Washington…
Chapter 21: Election Fallout – The World Reacts (Nov–Dec 2024)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 3: Year Three – Unfinished Wars and Uncertain Worlds (2024–2025) November – December 2024Washington…
Chapter 22: Year Four Begins – Trump Inaugurated, Putin Resurges (January–February 2025)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 4: Year Four – A Dangerous New Order (2025) January – February 2025Washington D.C.…
Chapter 23: The Red Line – Israel, Iran, and the Next Strike (March–April 2025)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 4: Year Four – A Dangerous New Order (2025) March – April 2025Jerusalem –…
Chapter 24: The Dragon Moves – Taiwan and the Three-Day Siege (May–June 2025)
The Bear and the Eagle Volume 4: Year Four – A Dangerous New Order (2025) May – June 2025Taipei –…
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (2025)
Content, Debates, and Implications 1. Introduction On 4 July 2025, President Donald Trump signed into law the One Big Beautiful…
Part 1: The Rift (Novel based on True Story – Trump vs Musk)
The Rift A Novel Based on True Events PART 1: The Rise and the Tension (From early pre-election dynamics to…
Part 2: The Rift (Novel based on True Story – Trump vs Musk)
The Rift A Novel Based on True Events PART 2: The Break (From Election Night 2024 to the Final Public…
Part 4: The Rift (Novel based on True Story – Trump vs Musk)
The Rift A Novel Based on True Events – Trump vs Musk PART 4: Collapse or Convergence Chapter 1: Independence…
Part 3: The Rift (Novel based on True Story – Trump vs Musk)
The Rift A Novel Based on True Events PART 3: Enemies in the Arena (From the public rift to strategic…