Tariff Policies under Donald Trump


Tariff Policies under Donald Trump: An Analysis of Economic Nationalism and Global Reactions

Abstract

This article critically examines the role and impact of tariff policies implemented by former U.S. President Donald J. Trump, with a focus on their economic, political, and international ramifications. Drawing upon evidence from public opinion, industry reactions, and global responses, the analysis explores the rationale, outcomes, and controversies surrounding tariffs as tools of economic nationalism. It also offers insights into how key global players—including China, the European Union, Canada, India, Mexico, and Japan—reacted to these trade measures. Ultimately, the article presents a balanced view of both the protective and disruptive consequences of Trump’s tariff strategy within the framework of international trade dynamics.


1. Introduction

Tariffs, defined as taxes imposed on imported goods, have long been instruments of trade regulation, national revenue, and industrial protection. Under President Donald Trump’s administration (2017–2021), however, tariffs were employed not merely as economic tools but as aggressive instruments of political leverage. Trump’s “America First” doctrine, aimed at reshaping the global trade landscape, sparked widespread debate and reaction both domestically and internationally. This article examines the intended benefits, adverse consequences, and diverse reactions to these policies.


2. The Rationale Behind Trump’s Tariff Strategy

Trump’s administration justified tariffs on several grounds:

  • Reducing Trade Deficits: Particularly with China, where the U.S. trade deficit exceeded $300 billion annually.
  • Reviving Domestic Manufacturing: By making imports more expensive, tariffs aimed to reindustrialise sectors such as steel and aluminium.
  • Political Leverage: Tariffs were used to compel foreign governments to reform practices related to intellectual property, currency manipulation, and even immigration (e.g. with Mexico).

For example, in 2018 and 2019, Trump imposed 25% tariffs on steel and 10% on aluminium imports globally, invoking national security concerns under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.


3. Domestic Reactions: Public and Economic Stakeholders

3.1 Public Opinion

Public opinion in the United States was notably divided. While many working-class voters in the Rust Belt appreciated protective measures, other segments of society lamented increased costs of consumer goods, appliances, and cars. American farmers, though largely supportive of Trump’s presidency, experienced severe economic setbacks due to Chinese retaliatory tariffs.

3.2 Business and Industry Perspectives

The corporate response was largely critical. Retailers such as Walmart and Target warned of rising prices. Automotive and technology manufacturers protested disruptions to global supply chains. Exporters, particularly agricultural producers, found themselves at a disadvantage in retaliatory markets.

Conversely, some domestic producers—especially in steel and aluminium—benefited temporarily from reduced foreign competition. However, these gains were often short-lived, offset by downstream manufacturing job losses and price volatility.


4. Professional and Political Evaluation

Economists and trade professionals criticised the tariffs for being economically inefficient and inflationary. The mainstream view within academia holds that protectionism typically results in net welfare losses, distorts comparative advantage, and can provoke retaliatory trade wars.

Politically, Trump’s tariffs received mixed reviews. Nationalist factions within the Republican Party celebrated them as a reassertion of American sovereignty. In contrast, traditional conservatives and most Democrats regarded the measures as damaging to free trade principles and international alliances.


5. Global Responses to U.S. Tariffs

The international response to Trump’s tariffs was largely adversarial, resulting in retaliatory measures, legal disputes at the World Trade Organization (WTO), and the reconfiguration of global trade alliances.

5.1 China

China responded forcefully with retaliatory tariffs on American agricultural and industrial goods. The dispute escalated into a full-blown trade war, leading to significant financial market volatility. A provisional resolution came in the form of the 2020 “Phase One” trade deal, wherein China agreed to increase imports of U.S. goods.

5.2 European Union

The EU strongly objected to metal tariffs and implemented countermeasures on iconic U.S. products such as motorcycles and bourbon. It pursued legal action via the WTO and began forming trade agreements with other global regions to reduce dependency on U.S. markets.

5.3 India

India saw its preferential access to U.S. markets under the Generalized System of Preferences revoked, prompting retaliatory tariffs. India’s strategy shifted towards strengthening its domestic economy through the “Make in India” initiative and expanding trade ties with alternative partners.

5.4 Canada and Mexico

Both neighbours were subjected to steel and aluminium tariffs despite longstanding trade relationships. Diplomatic tensions peaked but were eventually resolved through the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), now rebranded as the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA).

5.5 Japan

Japan, wary of potential auto tariffs, negotiated a limited trade agreement to avoid direct confrontation. While refraining from overt retaliation, Japan expressed concern over rising global protectionism.

5.6 World Trade Organization

The WTO received numerous complaints over Trump’s tariffs, many of which were deemed inconsistent with global trade rules. Simultaneously, the U.S. under Trump blocked judge appointments to the WTO appellate body, weakening its ability to enforce trade law.


6. Analysis: Pros and Cons of Trump’s Tariff Policy

6.1 Advantages

  • Revitalised attention on unfair trade practices (especially with China).
  • Strengthened political leverage in renegotiating trade deals.
  • Offered short-term relief to select domestic industries.

6.2 Disadvantages

  • Imposed higher costs on U.S. consumers and businesses.
  • Provoked retaliatory tariffs, harming American exporters.
  • Eroded trust among traditional allies and global institutions.
  • Triggered uncertainty in financial markets and global supply chains.

7. Conclusion

Donald Trump’s aggressive use of tariffs represented a significant departure from the free-trade orthodoxy of previous decades. While effective in drawing attention to structural imbalances and leveraging new trade deals, the strategy incurred considerable economic and diplomatic costs. As global trade remains interconnected, the long-term effectiveness of tariffs as unilateral policy tools remains doubtful. A more multilateral approach may be necessary for sustainable, equitable trade in the 21st century.


References

  • U.S. Trade Representative Office (2018–2020). Various reports on tariff implementation and trade deals.
  • World Trade Organization (WTO). Dispute Settlement Reports.
  • Pew Research Center. (2020). “Public Attitudes Toward Trump’s Trade Policies.”
  • Brookings Institution. (2020). “The Economic Costs of Trump’s Tariff Wars.”
  • Council on Foreign Relations. (2021). “The U.S.-China Trade War Timeline.”